China and the US are Locked in a Standoff Over Tariffs, with Neither Side Willing to Compromise

Stephen McDonell

BBC China correspondent

grey placeholderReuters US President Donald Trump attends a bilateral meeting with China's President Xi Jinping during the G20 leaders summit in Osaka, Japan, June 29, 2019Reuters

Both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping appear resolute in their stance on tariffs

American businesses aiming for the extensive Chinese market have faced a significant setback. A 34% increase on all US products entering China could drive many out of the market entirely.

This is particularly detrimental to US agricultural exporters, who were already burdened with tariffs ranging from 10 to 15% on their goods entering China, a response to earlier tariffs imposed by Trump. Adding a 34% tariff on top of that could render most of them uncompetitive.

Beijing seems unfazed and is prepared to source chicken, pork, and sorghum from other countries, demonstrating its willingness to challenge the US president where it hurts the most.

This situation has raised alarm among analysts globally.

The global supply chain has become highly interconnected, with components for various products sourced from numerous countries.

Thus, when economic troubles ripple across nations, it could result in disastrous effects on global trade.

grey placeholderAFP A tractor fertilizes the ground on a farm in Ruthsburg, MDAFP

Producers in the US agriculture sector seeking to export to China are likely to face significant challenges

The escalating tension between the world’s two largest economies is alarming, with no signs of either side relenting.

Consider the timing of China’s response.

The Chinese government announced its “resolute countermeasures” to Trump’s tariffs via the finance ministry at 18:00 local time (10:00 GMT) on a Friday evening, coinciding with a public holiday.

The timing may signify various intentions.

1. It may have aimed to downplay the news domestically to avoid disturbing the populace too greatly.

2. It might have simply rolled out the announcement once its own strategizing was concluded.

3. Perhaps Beijing abandoned hopes of reaching a deal before Trump’s 54% tariffs on Chinese goods take effect next week and opted to proceed aggressively.

If the third possibility holds true, it signals concerning news for the global economy as a resolution between these superpowers might prove more challenging than anticipated.

Another indication of President Xi’s stance towards President Trump’s tariffs is revealed by his actions during their announcement.

While other governments may have been glued to their screens, monitoring developments in Washington, that was not the case here.

Xi and the six other members of the Politburo Standing Committee were out planting trees, emphasizing the need to mitigate deforestation.

This showed a sense of composure in contrast to Trump’s administration, signaling a message along the lines of: go ahead, Washington, but this is China, and we won’t be swayed by your posturing.

There is still potential for a deal between the US and China, but the current discourse suggests otherwise.

One alternative could be for China to enhance its trade partnerships with other nations—including Western allies once deemed close to the US—thus sidelining America in the process.

Such a move would adversely affect not only US businesses but also American consumers, who are already facing higher prices driven by Trump’s tariffs.